19-20
From obs. (5/2/20): "Some recent wet slab avalanches were observed around Cooke City yesterday. North and south aspects to mid elevations... not sure of the exact timing, but attached is a photo of one, a southerly aspect around 9,000'." Photo: B. Fredlund
Wet slide in Beehive Basin
From obs (5/2/20): "Wet slab avalanche possibly triggered by wet loose/ point release from above in the cliffs. Adjacent to “The Gem”. The crown looked to be about 2-2.5’ deep." Photo: N. Sheil
From obs (5/2/20): "Wet slab avalanche possibly triggered by wet loose/ point release from above in the cliffs. Adjacent to “The Gem”. The crown looked to be about 2-2.5’ deep." Photo: N. Sheil
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat May 2, 2020
<h3><strong>GENERAL SPRING SNOWPACK AND TRAVEL ADVICE</strong></h3>
<p>NEW SNOW AND WIND LOADED SLOPES</p>
<p>Spring storms are notorious for depositing heavy amounts of snow in the mountains. Even with a deep and generally stable snowpack throughout the advisory area, heavy and rapid loads of new snow will decrease stability. The main problems to look out for are avalanches breaking within the new snow, wind slabs, and loose snow avalanches. The likelihood of triggering an avalanche spikes during and immediately after snowstorms. New snow instabilities tend to stabilize quickly, but it’s a good idea to give new snow a day to adjust before hitting big terrain. New snow instabilities can be difficult to assess, and spring storms bond to old snow differently across aspects and elevations. Conservative terrain selection is essential during and immediately following storms. Wind loaded slopes and slopes steeper than 35 degrees should be avoided for 24-48 hours after new snow and wind.</p>
<p>New snow can quickly change from dry to wet on a spring day, and stability can decrease rapidly with above freezing temperatures or brief sunshine. New snow may bond well early in the morning, and then easily slide later. Wet loose slides are likely during the first above freezing temperatures or sunshine immediately after a storm. Anticipate changes in snow stability as you change aspect or elevation, and over the course of the day. An early start is always an advantage. Be ready to change plans or move to safer terrain at the first signs of decreasing stability.</p>
<p>WET SNOW AVALANCHES</p>
<p>Spring and wet snow avalanches go hand-in-hand. Above freezing temperatures, rain, and/or intense sunshine cause the snow to become wet and weak, and make wet avalanches easy to trigger or release naturally. Conditions tend to become most unstable when temperatures stay above freezing for multiple days and nights in a row. Avoid steep terrain, and be aware of potential for natural wet avalanches in steep terrain above you, if you see:</p>
<ul>
<li>Heavy rain,</li>
<li>Above freezing temperatures for more than 24 hours,</li>
<li>Natural wet avalanches,</li>
<li>Roller balls or pin wheels indicating a moist or wet snow surface,</li>
<li>Or if you sink to your boot top in wet snow.</li>
</ul>
<p>In general, if the snow surface freezes solid overnight, the snowpack will be stable in the morning and stability will decrease through the day as snow warms up. The snow surface hardness, rate of warming, duration of sunshine, aspect and elevation determine how fast stability will decrease through the day. Be aware that sunny aspects may have a wet snow avalanche danger while shadier slopes still have a dry snow avalanche danger. Getting off of steep slopes should be considered when, or before, the above signs of instability are present. Wet snow avalanches, whether loose snow or slabs, can be powerful, destructive and very dangerous. Conservative terrain choices, starting early in the day, and careful observations can keep you safe. See Alex’s recent video, and this article for more spring travel advice.</p>
<p>CORNICES</p>
<p>Cornices along ridgelines are massive and can break under the weight of a person (photo). Prolonged above freezing temperatures and rain make them weaker and possible to break naturally. They can break off suddenly and farther back than one might expect. Cornice falls can also entrain large amounts of loose snow or trigger slab avalanches. Stay far back from the edge of ridgelines and minimize exposure to slopes directly below cornices. Regardless of whether a cornice triggers a slide or not, a falling cornice is dangerous to anyone in its path.</p>
<p>DISCLAIMER</p>
<p>It does not matter if new snow falls or not, avalanches will continue to occur until the existing snowpack is mostly gone. Always assess the slope you plan to ride with diligence and safety in mind. Do not let your guard down. Travel with a partner, carry rescue gear and only expose one person at a time in avalanche terrain.</p>
<p>Have a safe and enjoyable spring and summer!</p>
<p>Doug, Alex, Ian and Dave</p>
<p>For more spring travel advice see this <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/blog/transitions-spring-snow-avalanche-prob… our GNFAC forecaster blog.</p>
<p>Please continue to send us your observations. You can fill out an <a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com" target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs). We greatly appreciate your support.</p>
Closures and COVID-19 Restrictions
The Governor’s phased reopening still requests us to limit non-essential activities and continue to follow precautions to limit the spread of COVID-19.
Large destructive wet slide in Absarokas
From e-mail (5/1/20): "...the mountains are coming unglued with the 4 nights of no freeze and heavy rain. My party ventured up pine creek to take a look and found this big one that ran either yesterday or last night."
From e-mail (5/1/20): "...the mountains are coming unglued with the 4 nights of no freeze and heavy rain. My party ventured up pine creek to take a look and found this big one that ran either yesterday or last night.
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat May 2, 2020
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Natural wet slides in Bridger Range
Skiers observed large wet loose avalanches at Bridger on 4/22
GNFAC forecaster noted many natural wet slides throughout the Bridger Range. D1-D2 in size on E-S aspects from previous days (4/20-4/22). One slide north of Flathead Pass appeared to gouge to the ground and may have been a narrow wet slab. All others were relatively shallow, but some ran far.
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Apr 27, 2020
<p>Above freezing temperatures and rain this week make large wet avalanches likely. Temperatures were above freezing the last couple days and nights which caused the snowpack to lose strength and become unstable. Yesterday skiers reported large natural wet slides and a snowpack that had not frozen the previous night (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/natural-wet-slides-absarokas">pho…;). Expect similar conditions today and through this week. Wet slabs and wet loose avalanches will occur naturally and be easy to trigger. Either type of slide can run a long distance, entrain tons of snow and carry deadly force.</p>
<p>If the snowpack did not freeze solid overnight, travel in low angle terrain and be cautious of terrain above you where natural avalanches might initiate. Some mornings the snowpack might be frozen and stable, then lose strength through the day. Begin your travels as early as possible, and anticipate changes that will occur through the day and as you travel across different elevations and aspects.</p>
<p>See below for more detailed spring snowpack and travel advice. Read <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/2020-04/GNFAC%2019-20%2… season’s snowpack summary</strong></a><strong> </strong>for a review of the poor snowpack structure that could still produce big wet slabs.</p>
<p>Please continue to send us your observations. You can fill out an <a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com" target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs). We greatly appreciate your support.</p>
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